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Adapting to Climate Change   13/04/2009
Author : Graeme Daniel

"I used to think adaptation subtracted from our efforts on prevention. But I’ve changed my mind. Poor countries are vulnerable and need our help." (Al Gore, in Adapt or Die  / The Economist: September 11, 2008)

 If we are experiencing an accelerating process of climate change , and if the chief cause is anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions  , and if there's a chance that our efforts to mitigate  emissions may fail, we need to accept that adaptation strategies should be developed to provide an effective Plan B.
This set of resources confirms that many people are working to establish the groundwork for Plan B, and that all is not yet lost. Ultimately, education is a key strategy among efforts to cope with climate change, and  our next issue of WWWTools for Education will present a collection of learning resources to this end.


Key Concepts: Vulnerability, Adaptation, Resilience, Sustainability.

The Adaptation Generation  (Christina Larson / The Vine: January 05, 2009) - "To adapt or not to adapt? It used to be an impolite question"

Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change: Concepts, Issues, Assessment Methods   (Santiago Olmos / Climate Change Knowledge Network: July, 2001)
  • literature review with special emphasis on poverty and  developing countries
  •   key concepts and their relationships: sensitivity, vulnerability, impact potential, resilience, responsiveness, adaptive capacity, adaptability, adaptation.
  • adaptation issues.
  • possibilities for projects in developing countries.
  • lists Core Members of the Climate Change Knowledge Network  

State of the World 2009: Chapter 5 - Building Resilience   (David Dodman, Jessica Ayers, and Saleemul Huq / Worldwatch Institute)
  • how experiences of vulnerability and resilience differ.
  • interactions between human and natural systems. 
  • the need for institutional transformations.
  • "vulnerability" is "a measure of the degree to which a human or natural system is unable to cope with adverse effects, including changing variability and extremes." 
  • "adaptation" refers to the adjustments made in response to threats - see Examples of Planned Adaptation for Different Sectors (Table 5–1)
  • "resilience" is "the ability of a social or ecological system to absorb disturbances while retaining the same basic structure and ways of functioning, the capacity for self-organization, and the capacity to adapt to stress and change" (Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC).
  • links between social and ecological resilience.
  • building resilient rural livelihoods - examples from Nepal, Bangladesh, Zimbabwe, Tanzania.
  • building resilient urban areas.
  • financing resilience.
  • linking mitigation and adaptation.

  • varying definitions of "vulnerability" and "adaptation".
  • factors determining and exacerbating vulnerability.
  • reasons for considering adaptation.
  • types of adaptation.
  • vulnerability and adaptation assessments.
  • framework for vulnerability assessment.
  • funding adaptation.
  • dimensions of sustainable development: economic, social and environmental
 - conclusion: integrating adaptation considerations into policy processes and decision-making across a range of sectors and scales is critical in managing the impacts of climate change.


Regions at Risk.

Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change; Final Report of the AIACC Project (Neil Leary, Jyoti Kulkarni and Clark Seipt / International START Secretariat and the Academy of Sciences for the Developing World, November 2007) - project implemented over the period 2001-2007, aimed to enhance scientific capacity to assess climate change impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation, and to improve links between climate change science and policy communities to enable adaptation planning and action. 
24 assessments were executed in Africa, Asia, Latin America and Small Island States, by more than 300 scientists, stakeholders and students from     50 developing countries in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and Small Island States

Climate Change: Impacts, Vulnerabilities and Adaptation In Developing Countries  (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, 2007)) - emphasis on developing countries in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and Small Island Developing States; vulnerability to climate change; adaptation plans, strategies and actions; future adaptation options and needs. See especially Chapter II.

AFRICA:

ASIA: 
The Meltdown of the Himalayan Glaciers  (Richard Welford / CSR Asia: January 21, 2009)

Climate Change Effects to Hit Pakistan Hard: IPCC Chief  (Jamal Shahid / Dawn: January 14, 2009)

A Journey Across the Ground Zero of Global Warming   (Johann Hari / The Huffington Post: November 24, 2008) - Bangladesh.

Jakarta ‘most at risk’ of Climate Change   (Adianto Simamora / The Jakarta Post: January 23, 2009)

SMALL ISLAND STATES:
Small Island Developing States at the Forefront of Global Climate Change   (Edward Cameron / State of the World 2009 - Worldwatch)

Climate Change and Food Security in Pacific Island Countries (FAO, 2008) - ocean warming and acidification, changes in precipitation patterns, and frequent cyclones will devastate the food sector.

Islands Fight the Tide   (Television New Zealand: January 22, 2009) - the 52 South Pacific island nations are the mine canaries of climate change.

Fighting the Tide; the Earth Is Sinking   (Fiji Times: January 04, 2009)

Heightened Fears for Lowering Lands   (Olivia Lang / BBC News: January 12, 2009) - the Maldives under threat

EUROPE:
EU Warns Balearics Highly Vulnerable to Climate Change  ( The Mallorca:  January 03, 2009)

Regions 2020: An Assessment of Future Challenges for EU Regions  (Commission of the European Communities / November 14, 2008)

Impacts of Europe's Changing Climate - 2008 Indicator-Based Assessment   (EEA Report No 4/2008) - identifies vulnerable sectors and regions  with a high need for adaptation. 

Governing Climate Change Post-2012: The Role of Global Cities - London   (Harriet Bulkeley and Heike Schroeder / Tyndall Working Paper 123, October 2008) - 3 categories of initiatives for addressing climate change: leadership; infrastructure change; and changing practice.

NORTH AMERICA:
Climate Change 101: Preparing for a Warming World   (Pew Center on Global Climate Change, 2008?) - the case for adaptation planning in the US.
See also Coastal Sensitivity to Sea-level Rise: A Focus on the Mid-Atlantic Region  (US Environmental Protection Agency, US Geological Survey, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) - examines the effects of sea level rise, impacts on society, and preparation for consequences, focusing on the eight coastal states from New York to North Carolina. 
Download full report or parts.

AUSTRALIA:
Climate Change: Risk and Vulnerability: Promoting an Efficient Adaptation Response in Australia   (Allen Consulting Group /  Report to the Australian Greenhouse Office, Department of the Environment and Heritage: March 2005) - download the Executive Summary, full report, or Working Documents.
  • identifies components of vulnerability: exposure and sensitivity, together constituting potential impact, and adaptive capacity (Figure ES.1) 
  • lists priority vulnerable systems and regions.
  • considers agricultural systems, water supply, settlements and emergency services, energy, national leadership.


Strategies for Adaptation.

Adaptation to Climate Change: International Policy Options  (Ian Burton, Elliot Diringer, Joel Smith / Pew Center on Global Climate Change: November 2006)
  • looks at the history of human adaptation to climate.
  • highlights key issues in the design of adaptation policy.
  • summarizes and assesses adaptation efforts to date.
  • outlines approaches to future international efforts.

Technologies for Adaptation to Climate Change  (UNFCCC, 2006) - a brief introduction to the principles and methods of adaptation, and steps for practical implementation. For detail, see Application of Environmentally Sound Technologiesfor Adaptation to Climate Change: Technical Paper
  • current understanding of adaptation to climate change.
  • framework for assessing technologies for adaptation.
  • the process of technology development and transfer regarding adaptation.
  • examples of technologies for adaptation in 5 sectors (coastal zones, water resources, agriculture, public health, and infrastructure), along with 3 case studies per sector.
  • synthesis of findings that have implications for climate policy.


Sectors and Solutions.

OCEANS:
Adaptation, Climate Change and the Ocean  (Ocean Foundation) - sea level rise and ocean storms

Climate Change Adaptation in Australia's Coasts   (Australia. Department of Climate Change, 2009) - excellent overview. 

Climate Change Could Choke Oceans for 100,000 Years  (Brandon Keim / wired science:  January 26, 2009)

Maldives May Buy Dry Land If Seas Rise   (Andrew C. Revkin / IHT: November 11, 2008) - one solution is migration, if there's somewhere to go.
Where Could the Maldives People Escape To?   (Jon Henley / Dawn: November 13, 2008) - could we sell them a piece of Australia? Or perhaps Vincent Callebaut's Floating Island to Welcome Climate Refugees   (Grégoire Allix / Le Monde: January 05, 2009) might be a more attractive solution. See also Live Free or Drown: Floating Utopias on the Cheap  (Chris Baker / Wired Magazine 17.02: January 19, 2009)

HEALTH ISSUES:
Climate Change and its Implications for Human Migration and Health  (World Prout Assembly: December 30, 2008) 


Climate Change and Extreme Heat Events  (George Luber, Michael McGeehin / American Journal of Preventive Medicine: Volume 35, Issue 5, November 2008)

Are We Ready? Preparing for the Public Health Challenges of Climate Change  (National Association of County and City Health Officials, Environmental Defense Fund and George Mason University / 2008)


Rain Tanks May Attract Dengue Fever Mozzies  (Canberra Times: January 26, 2009) - tanks could bring a resurgence of the dengue fever mosquito. See also Humans Adapting to Climate Change Help Mosquitoes Spread Disease
(SpaceDaily: January 27, 2009), and Federal Govt Pledges $10m for Climate Change Health Research   (ABC: January 27, 2009)

ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES
Economic Aspects of Adaptation to Climate Change: Costs, Benefits and Policy Instruments  (ed Shardul Agrawala and Samuel Fankhauser / OECD: May 28, 2008) - assessment of adaptation costs and benefits in sensitive sectors, and at national and global levels. Highlights the limits of economic and policy instruments that can be used to motivate adaptation; limitations in estimating price-tags for adaptation.

Economics of Adaptation   (UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs / 2008) - the Government's role in attempting to overcome the Stern Review's barriers to adaptation; limits to action.

Basic Economics Guidance   (Climate Change Economics) - see especially the section Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation



ENERGY CONSUMPTION:
Something Spectacular Is Going to Happen   (Tom Heuerman / TC Daily Planet: August 16, 2008) - "Sustainability is the moral issue of this generation ... we should not try to continue our dependence on fossil fuels."

Eiffel Tower Cuts Its Sparkle   (Reuters: October 18, 2008) - to save energy, the tower will halve its twinkling time.

Homes 'Should Get Free Green Makeovers'  (Cathy Alexander / AAP: September 21, 2008) - retrofitting homes to slash electricity use.

The Green Computing Update  (Jeremy Faludi / WORLDCHANGING: September 25, 2008) - the contribution of ICTs to energy conservation.

Energy Rewards to Reduce Emissions   (A Blog by Kevin Cox: September 13, 2008) - an interesting practical suggestion. 

POPULATION CONTROL: 
Strangely enough, the size and continuing expansion of human population is not much mentioned in this debate. However, some brave souls are biting the bullet...
Climate Change and Population   (Rosamund McDougall et al / Optimum Population Trust, 2008) - considers demographic growth as a driver of climate change; effects of population size on mitigation and adaptation. Large resource list appended.

Recently in Population and Climate Change Category  (Population Action International Blog) - includes these entries from July 08, 2008:
  • Taking On Population and Climate Change (Carolyn Vogel)
  • Should We Be Talking About Population and Climate Change? (Karen Hardee)
  • Combating Global Warming Brings Population Back to the Agenda (Leiwen Jiang)

Population and Climate Change   (Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists / completed: April 16, 2008)

FOOD SUPPLY:

The Impact of Climate Change and Adaptation on Food Production in Low-Income Countries: Evidence from the Nile Basin, Ethiopia   (Mahmud Yesuf et al / International Food Policy Research Institute, December 2008)

Meat Must Be Rationed to Four Portions a Week, Says Report on Climate Change  (Juliette Jowit / The Guardian: September 30, 2008)

Eating Greens 'Makes You Greener'   ( Tamara McLean / AAP: September 22, 2008) - vegetarians have sixfold lower greenhouse gas emissions than carnivores, especially if you happen to be a kangaroo: Eat Kangaroo to 'Save the Planet'   (BBC News: August 09, 2008)
Or even Throw a Camel on the Barbie   (Cathy Alexander / Courier Mail: December 09, 2008)

Food Crisis Due to Warming World Trumps All Other Worries, Say Scientists   (Suzanne Bohan / Contra Costa Times: January 10, 2009)

WATER RESOURCES:
Ecologists Warn the Planet Is Running Short of Water   (Leo Lewis / The Times: January 22, 2009) - report from the Pacific Institute in California.

Climate Change and Water Adaptation Issues (Anthony Footitt et al / European Environment Agency, 2007) - the need to adapt to changing water supply regimes, current policies and regulations, adaptation initiatives by sector and region, future challenges. Supplemented by Annex 1: Country Level Activities on Climate Change in Relation to Water Resource Issues.

Climate Change - Health and Environmental Effects   (US Environmental Protection Agency: December 18, 2008) - Water Resources; Water Availability; Water Quality; Water Resources in North America. Concise treatment.
See also the useful set of links at Water  (US Environmental Protection Agency: January 01, 2009)

The Question of Water  (A Blog by Kevin Cox: October 19, 2008) - applying the concept of Rewards to water consumption.

Desalination and Australia's Long-Term Water Security  (Australian National Water Commission / October 30, 2008) introduces Emerging Trends in Desalination: A Review  (UNESCO Centre for Membrane Science and Technology, UNSW: October 2008) -  research and emerging trends in desalination technology, discusses energy minimisation and environmental issues. The merits of desalination technologies in Australia, and alternative supply options. Download the Executive Summary or the full Review


Adaptation to Climate Change in International River Basins in Africa: a Review  (Marisa Goulden et al / Tyndall Working Paper 127, December 2008)

AGRICULTURE:

Climate Change Mitigation, Adaptation and Sustainability in Agriculture  (Mannava V.K. Sivakumar, Robert Stefanski / World Meteorological Organization, 2008) - presentation format. See especially:
  •                                                                      Sustainability – the concept and definitions
  •                                                                      Climate change and sustainability – the issues

The International Symposium on Climate Change and Food Security in South Asia  (Dhaka, Bangladesh - August 25-29, 2008) published these   Recommendations  

Global Warming – Impact Of Climate Change On Global Agriculture  (cattlenetwork: October 13, 2008) - with maps.

Why Are Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change So Uncertain?   (David B Lobell1 and Marshall B Burke / Environmental Research Letters 3 034007, 2008)

Farming and Land Use to Cool the Planet   (Sara J. Scherr and Sajal Sthapit / Chapter 3: State of the World, 2009) - outlines 5 strategies for increasing sustainability, improving rural incomes, and easing adaptation to climate change.

How China's Farmers Adapt to Climate Change: Policy Research Working Paper 4758   (Jinxia Wang et al / World Bank Development Research Group and Urban Development Team: October 2008) - analyses irrigation and crop choice across 8,405 farmers in 28 Chinese provinces.

Boris Unveils Secret Weapon in War on Climate Change - the Roof Garden  (David Adam / The Guardian: August 30, 2008)

FORESTS:
Fires to Get Bigger: Report (Ben Cubby / Sydney Morning Herald: December 05, 2008) - need for more planning and funding for fire-control.


New Interactive Database on Indicators of Sustainable Forest Management in Europe   (UNECE: January 19,  2009) -  web-based resource tool   to enable researchers, policymakers, practitioners and the general public to access data on Europe’s forests. Based on the report Europe’s Forests 2007

ENVIRONMENT AND WILDLIFE:
Climate Change: What We Do   (Nature Conservancy, 2009) - building nature’s resilience.


Emperor Penguins Could Be Virtually Extinct by 2100, Scientists Say  (Nick Allen / Telegraph: January 27, 2009)


TRANSPORT AND TRAVEL:
Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in the Tourism Sector: Frameworks, Tools and Practices (M. Simpson et al / United Nations Environment Programme and University of Oxford, 2008)

Sustainable Transport   (SDA Movers) - is it more about human behaviour than about technology?

Electric Cars 'Just Four Years Away'   (Charisse Ede / Sydney Morning Herald: October 23, 2008) 

Aviation and Shipping Cannot Trade Away Emissions, Scientist Warns  (David Adam / The Guardian: September 24, 2008) - both sectors will have to curtail future growth.

Cities Are Key Culprits in Weather Shifts  (Shaun McKinnon / January 11, 2009) - inverse correlation between rainfall totals and traffic density.

Current Urban Transport System Will Lead to Economic and Environmental Meltdown  (Nicholas Low) - unless large-scale changes are made to Australia’s urban transport system, our cities risk economic and environmental collapse.

BUSINESS:
Sustainability: Two Irreconcilable Perspectives  (Dave Pollard / how to save the world: January 15, 2008) - six messages from business executives.

Adapting to Climate Change: A Business Approach   (F.Sussman and J. Randall Freed / Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Markets and Business Strategy: April 2008) - includes case studies.

Carbon Offsets: More Harm Than Good?   (Melissa Checker / counterpunch: August 27, 2008


Escaping Climate Disaster 'Affordable', Says Report  (EurActiv: January 27, 2009)   

Ecosystem Markets Take Off   (Ben Block / Worldwatch Institute: January 12, 2009) - exchanges of nature's services add new dimensions to conservation.


Examples of Planning and Action Around the World.

SCOTLAND:
Scotland's in the Grip of a Green Revolution   (Jenny Haworth / Scotsman: January 10, 2009)

BANGLADESH:
Urban Poverty, Climate Change and Built Environment   (Huraera Jabeen and Fuad H. Mallick / The Daily Star: January 24, 2009)

FIJI:
Adaptation in Locally Managed Marine Areas in Fiji (Alifereti Tawake and Juan Hoffmaister / State of the World 2009: WorldWatch)

JAPAN:

CANADA:
DOI Climate Action Plan Work Beginning (Ian Cobb / Invermere Valley Echo: January 20, 2009)

UNITED STATES:
Adaptation Planning – What U.S. States and Localities are Doing (Pew Center for Global Climate Change: February 2008)
See also  Mass. Launches Effort to Protect Coast Residents  (Beth Daley / Boston Globe: January 03, 2009)

WORLD:
(World Bank)


News.

US Names New Climate Change Envoy   (Indo-Asian News Service: January 27, 2009) - Todd Stern will represent the US in negotiations with major polluting nations to mitigate GHG emissions.

New Day on Climate Change   (IHT: January 27, 2009) - President Obama directed the Environmental Protection Agency to consider California's application to set its own rules on greenhouse-gas emissions from cars and trucks.

EU Calls for Global Carbon Market (BBC News: January 28, 2009) -  by 2015 the European Commission wants to link its ETS to other carbon trading systems, and to include emerging economies by 2020.

A Breath of Fresh Air   (Brian Beutler / The Guardian: January 28, 2009) - Al Gore appeared before Congress to call for the United States to recast global warming as an international concern, and to take a strong leadership role at the climate change conference  in Copenhagen (December 2009)


BOOKS.

State of the World 2009: Into a Warming World   (Worldwatch Institute / W.W. Norton & Co., 2009)
Paperback: $13.57
ISBN-10: 039333418X
ISBN-13: 978-0393334180

Climate Change: A Multidisciplinary Approach  (William James Burroughs / Cambridge University Press: November 26, 2007)
Paperback:  $44.00 
ISBN-10: 0521690331
ISBN-13: 978-0521690331

The Atlas of Climate Change: Mapping the World's Greatest Challenge  (Kirstin Dow, Thomas Downing / University of California Press: October 01, 2007)
Paperback:  $13.57
ISBN-10: 0520255585
ISBN-13: 978-0520255586

 

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